Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 88.288990 100.677950 115.154526 133.576020 156.778049 185.582864 224.975658
2024-10-20 72.458230 88.052512 108.218654 137.158478 179.404484 242.170505 350.369256
2024-10-27 61.759544 77.878787 100.028791 134.346806 189.789432 284.135801 482.718618
2024-11-03 57.829913 75.493215 101.218508 144.264424 221.768853 376.276722 801.396590
2024-11-10 57.075567 77.199862 108.352676 165.093924 281.213486 566.274714 1776.130384
2024-11-17 52.514563 72.416948 104.287068 165.251772 300.226173 682.015557 3040.440115
2024-11-24 48.311292 67.603098 99.307613 162.341924 311.207963 788.718956 5284.639784
2024-12-01 44.870170 63.591317 95.066408 159.848536 322.313354 913.347726 10675.667514
2024-12-08 42.383883 60.858611 92.662540 160.570553 342.517428 1111.695542 37702.425663
2024-12-15 40.156595 58.323212 90.255519 160.730294 361.593116 1351.513661 915777.449942
2024-12-22 37.347475 54.551686 85.108772 153.688510 355.546732 1439.416604 NaN
2024-12-29 36.146631 53.449903 84.888506 158.117071 390.118210 1932.666931 NaN
2025-01-05 33.225170 49.375221 78.991753 149.047527 378.094342 2061.611915 NaN
2025-01-12 31.872096 48.012588 78.375552 153.361227 421.956303 3165.569414 NaN
2025-01-19 29.982730 45.503968 75.115973 150.046182 433.243591 4066.147370 NaN
2025-01-26 29.541189 45.586953 77.189031 161.781457 526.279852 10210.887127 NaN
2025-02-02 29.946597 47.281723 82.973162 186.655664 738.144666 268797.112232 NaN
2025-02-09 28.667328 45.608151 81.014360 186.845310 796.664522 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 27.297005 43.648230 78.165638 183.352014 824.613121 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.078686 41.902828 75.630806 180.363296 856.150673 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.168312 40.707619 74.267316 181.228307 930.285487 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.296300 39.527645 72.810516 181.419733 1003.413051 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.076310 37.566731 69.271128 172.997970 964.942362 NaN NaN